Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000130 0.000143 0.000157 0.000172 0.000190 0.000209 0.000231
2025-11-23 0.000102 0.000121 0.000142 0.000169 0.000201 0.000239 0.000287
2025-11-30 0.000089 0.000110 0.000136 0.000171 0.000216 0.000273 0.000350
2025-12-07 0.000079 0.000103 0.000133 0.000175 0.000232 0.000308 0.000418
2025-12-14 0.000070 0.000094 0.000126 0.000171 0.000237 0.000328 0.000467
2025-12-21 0.000062 0.000085 0.000117 0.000165 0.000236 0.000339 0.000505
2025-12-28 0.000057 0.000081 0.000114 0.000166 0.000245 0.000366 0.000567
2026-01-04 0.000053 0.000077 0.000112 0.000167 0.000255 0.000394 0.000635
2026-01-11 0.000049 0.000072 0.000107 0.000165 0.000259 0.000412 0.000688
2026-01-18 0.000046 0.000069 0.000105 0.000165 0.000267 0.000438 0.000758
2026-01-25 0.000043 0.000066 0.000101 0.000163 0.000270 0.000455 0.000814
2026-02-01 0.000040 0.000063 0.000099 0.000164 0.000278 0.000481 0.000890
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000060 0.000096 0.000162 0.000281 0.000501 0.000959
2026-02-15 0.000034 0.000056 0.000092 0.000157 0.000281 0.000514 0.001016
2026-02-22 0.000033 0.000054 0.000091 0.000160 0.000292 0.000551 0.001130
2026-03-01 0.000032 0.000053 0.000091 0.000163 0.000306 0.000594 0.001264
2026-03-08 0.000030 0.000050 0.000087 0.000160 0.000307 0.000611 0.001340
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000047 0.000083 0.000154 0.000301 0.000613 0.001384
2026-03-22 0.000026 0.000046 0.000081 0.000155 0.000310 0.000647 0.001510
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000045 0.000081 0.000156 0.000320 0.000685 0.001651
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000043 0.000078 0.000154 0.000321 0.000704 0.001748
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000041 0.000077 0.000154 0.000329 0.000739 0.001893
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000040 0.000075 0.000152 0.000330 0.000759 0.001998